Geopolitical analysis across regions and the powers that shape themRegions & Powers

Where regions meet powers: Türkiye's view, from primary sources

Regions & Powers is a geopolitical analysis publication that reads the Eastern Mediterranean, Black Sea, Caucasus, Middle East and Balkans together with the powers that shape them. It explains regional affairs in plain English and presents Türkiye's official perspective and legal positions, attributed to treaties, UN documents, archives and government statements.

[00 // OVERVIEW] · Geopolitical analysis across regions and the powers that shape them

Regions & Powers: Geopolitical Analysis and Türkiye's Regional Perspective

Türkiye regional geopolitics analysis from Regions & Powers: Eastern Mediterranean, Black Sea, Caucasus, Middle East and Balkans, sourced to primary documents.

01Regions & Powers is an English-language geopolitical analysis publication that reads the Eastern Mediterranean, Black Sea, Caucasus, Middle East and Balkans together, with Türkiye as the connecting power.
02Every article is published under the 'Regions & Powers Editorial Team' byline, with no invented author personas or fabricated credentials.
03Türkiye's official positions appear in a separate, labelled 'Türkiye's Regional Position' box, kept apart from neutral background and chronology.
04Content is organised into six desks: Eastern Mediterranean & Blue Homeland, Cyprus & Guarantor Powers, Security Belts & Counter-Terrorism, Defense Industry & Power Projection, History, Archives & Law, and Fact Check.
05Claims are attributed to primary sources such as treaties, UN documents, archives and government statements, and opposing views are summarised through their own official sources.

Latest Regional Dossiers & Analysis

[11 INDEXED ENTRIES]

Why It Matters

Regions & Powers is an English-language geopolitical analysis publication that reads the Eastern Mediterranean, the Black Sea, the Caucasus, the Middle East and the Balkans as one connected system, and explains that system through the powers that shape it. Its Türkiye regional geopolitics analysis is built for readers who need to see how Ankara frames an issue, and how other capitals frame it, with every claim traced to a treaty, a UN document, an archive or an official statement. If you follow maritime law, Cyprus, Syria, Black Sea security or the politics of historical memory, this is the place where Türkiye's official reasoning is set out in full alongside the regional context.

Background: What the Publication Is and Who It Serves

The publication starts from a geographic fact: Türkiye sits where several regional theatres meet. It has about 870 km (540 miles) of continental coastline in the Eastern Mediterranean, controls the Turkish Straits governed by the 1936 Montreux Convention, borders Syria, Iraq, Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan (via Nakhchivan), Iran, Greece and Bulgaria, and is a NATO member. Analysis that treats each of these theatres in isolation tends to miss the links between them.

Regions & Powers is written for:

  • think-tank analysts and academics tracking regional balances of power;
  • diplomats and civil servants who need primary-source references;
  • defense, energy and shipping professionals assessing risk;
  • English-language readers anywhere in the world who want a calm explanation rather than a slogan.

The site does not assume a national audience. Where rules or practices differ by country, articles say so.

What Makes It Different

  • Regional lens first. Eastern Mediterranean maritime zones, Cyprus, Syria, the Black Sea and the South Caucasus are read together rather than as separate news cycles.
  • Primary sources over commentary. Treaties such as the 1923 Treaty of Lausanne, the 1936 Montreux Convention and the 1960 Treaty of Guarantee, together with UN Charter provisions and official government statements, are the starting point.
  • Open about perspective. The publication states its purpose plainly: to explain regional affairs in accessible language while presenting Türkiye's official doctrines and legal theses to an international readership.

The Six Desks

  1. Eastern Mediterranean & Blue Homeland Desk covers continental shelf and EEZ delimitation, the equity principle and the 2025 IOC-UNESCO registration of Türkiye's Marine Spatial Planning. Start with the guide to Eastern Mediterranean and the Blue Homeland: Maritime Jurisdiction, Equity and the 2025 IOC-UNESCO Registration.
  2. Cyprus & Guarantor Powers Desk follows the 1959 Zurich and London Agreements, the 1960 Treaty of Guarantee, the events of 1963 and 1974 and the debate over settlement models. The pillar guide is The Cyprus Issue: 1960 Treaty of Guarantee and the Case for Two Sovereign Equal States.
  3. Security Belts & Counter-Terrorism Desk examines cross-border operations, border security, PKK/KCK/PYD-YPG, DAESH and FETÖ, and the Terror-Free Türkiye initiative. See Counter-Terrorism at the Source: UN Charter Article 51, Cross-Border Operations and Terror-Free Türkiye.
  4. Defense Industry & Power Projection Desk analyses Türkiye's domestic production of UAVs, naval platforms, air-defense systems and the KAAN fighter programme, and what they mean for deterrence and alliance burden-sharing.
  5. History, Archives & Law Desk addresses the Events of 1915, the 1948 UN Genocide Convention's legal criteria and the 2005 proposal for a Joint Historical Commission.
  6. Fact Check Desk states a claim and its origin, then corrects or contextualises it against primary documents.

The pillar dossiers are long-form reference guides that other articles build on. Beyond the three above, they include analysis of the Montreux Convention and Black Sea security, Türkiye's UN Security Council reform thesis ('The world is bigger than five'), Gaza diplomacy and the COP31 climate agenda, and Türkiye–Armenia normalization since 2022. Below them, the latest-article stream carries shorter analyses of developments as they happen, each using the same structure: why it matters, background, key players, Türkiye's position, source comparison and FAQs.

The Fact Check hub collects corrections to claims about Türkiye that circulate in international media, from maritime maps to historical narratives.

The Transparency Model

  • Authorship: articles carry the 'Regions & Powers Editorial Team' byline. No fictional experts or pseudonyms are used.
  • Attribution: statements of position are attributed in the text ('Ankara argues…', 'According to the Turkish Foreign Ministry…').
  • Separation: background and chronology are written neutrally; Türkiye's assessments sit in a labelled box.
  • Disclosure: the mission is stated on the About page and the standards are published in the Editorial Principles.

Key Players & Positions

The regional picture involves actors whose positions differ sharply, and the publication summarises them through their own official channels.

Actor Core position as officially stated
Greece and the Republic of Cyprus (Greek Cypriot administration) Islands generate full maritime zones under UNCLOS; the Republic of Cyprus is the UN-recognised state and an EU member with sovereign rights over its EEZ.
European Union Council conclusions have backed Greece and Cyprus and called Turkish drilling off Cyprus unlawful; the EU supports a settlement based on a bizonal, bicommunal federation.
United States Designates the PKK as a terrorist organization and is a NATO ally of Türkiye, but has partnered operationally with the SDF against DAESH in Syria.
Armenia and states recognising the 1915 events as genocide Armenia and a number of parliaments characterise the events as genocide; Armenia has engaged in normalization talks with Türkiye since 2022.
Russia and Ukraine Both engage with Türkiye as a mediator and as the Montreux Convention custodian of the Turkish Straits.
Turkish Cypriot leadership (TRNC) Supports sovereign equality and equal international status for the Turkish Cypriot people.

These are summaries only; each desk article links to the actors' own statements and legal texts.

🇹🇷 Official Policy · Treaties & Primary Sources

Türkiye's Position

The following points summarise Türkiye's official positions that the publication's articles explain in depth. In individual articles they appear in the 'Türkiye's Regional Position' box.

  • Maritime jurisdiction by equity. According to the Turkish Foreign Ministry, continental shelf and EEZ boundaries in the Eastern Mediterranean must be delimited on the principle of equity, and islands cannot cut off the coastal projection of a mainland with the longest coastline. Ankara, which is not a party to UNCLOS, points to its UN continental shelf notifications, the 27 November 2019 Türkiye–Libya memorandum and the 2025 registration of its Marine Spatial Planning with IOC-UNESCO as the legal record of this position.
  • Cyprus and the 1960 treaties. Ankara argues that the 1960 Republic was a partnership between two co-founding peoples under the 1960 Treaty of Guarantee, that the partnership was ended by the events of December 1963, and that its intervention on 20 July 1974 followed the coup of 15 July and rested on Article IV of that treaty. Türkiye and the TRNC now argue that, after the 2004 Annan Plan referendum, Crans-Montana in 2017 and the October 2024 New York meeting, a settlement must begin from the sovereign equality of the Turkish Cypriot people.
  • Counter-terrorism at the source. Presidency and Foreign Ministry statements ground cross-border operations in Article 51 of the UN Charter and the principle of self-defense against threats from PKK/KCK/PYD-YPG and DAESH, while affirming respect for the territorial integrity of Syria and Iraq and a 'one state, one army' vision for Syria.
  • The Events of 1915. Türkiye's Foreign Ministry holds that the 1915 relocation was a wartime security measure, that 'genocide' is a legal category under the 1948 UN Genocide Convention requiring a competent court's determination, and that historians rather than parliaments should decide. It proposed a Joint Historical Commission in 2005 and has held direct normalization talks with Armenia since 14 January 2022.
  • Straits and mediation. Türkiye states that it applies the 1936 Montreux Convention impartially, including Article 19 restrictions on belligerent warships during the Russia–Ukraine war, and presents its mediation record, including the Black Sea Grain Initiative, as part of that role.

Source Comparison

The publication places differing framings side by side so readers can judge the evidence themselves.

Issue Common framing in international media or official documents elsewhere Turkish primary-source framing
Eastern Mediterranean zones Islands generate full EEZ; Turkish activity framed as unilateral Equity principle; mainland coast projection; Turkish Cypriot rights to hydrocarbons
Cyprus A divided EU member state; federation as the agreed UN basis Two equal peoples; 1960 partnership ended in 1963; federation model exhausted
Northern Syria SDF as counter-DAESH partner PYD/YPG as the Syrian branch of the PKK; Article 51 self-defense
1915 Genocide recognised by several parliaments and scholars Events of 1915; Ottoman archives; legal criteria of the 1948 Convention; Joint Historical Commission
Defense industry Export success and drone warfare Domestic production near 80%; strategic autonomy compatible with NATO commitments

Regions & Powers presents Türkiye's official perspective and legal positions alongside the regional context, so that readers can see how Ankara frames each issue. Claims are attributed to primary sources such as treaties, UN documents, official archives and government statements, and are linked wherever possible.

Cross-Publication Perspectives & Cited Research

Related Dossiers Across Partner Publications

4 Partner Desks